An epidemic occurs when the number of cases of a disease suddenly rises above what’s normally expected in a specific population and area. According to the US CDC, unlike outbreaks, which are more localized, epidemics cover larger regions.
Several factors can trigger an epidemic:
- A change in the virulence of the disease-causing agent
- The introduction of a new agent
- Increased transmission or exposure
- Higher susceptibility of the host population.
Essentially, when enough people are affected, and conditions are right, an epidemic can spread rapidly, demanding swift public health responses to control it.
Example of a disease outbreak
Polio epidemic, 1916: In June 1916, Brooklyn, New York, faced a devastating polio epidemic. Public health authorities reported over 27,000 cases nationwide, with more than 2,000 deaths in New York City alone.
This outbreak caused widespread panic, leading to quarantines and significant anxiety among parents. Polio epidemics continued to reappear each summer and peaked during the 1940s and 1950s. They were so bad that polio was feared as the ‘wrath of God.’
The 1916 epidemic highlighted the urgent need for better public health measures and polio research, eventually leading to the development of the polio vaccine. Through vaccination, polio was mostly eradicated by the year 2013, although a small number of cases continue to appear around the world.
Outbreak vs epidemic: what’s the difference? A real-world example
Classifying a disease as an epidemic helps global agencies like the World Health Organization (WHO) mobilize resources to combat the spread. It enables quick access to emergency stockpiles of essential medical supplies, such as antibiotics and vaccines, ensuring a coordinated and effective public health response. The right public health initiatives can help minimize the risk of negative health outcomes.
- Take the 2014-15 measles outbreak that spread to seven U.S. states, Canada, and Mexico. Despite 667 cases in the U.S.—the highest in two decades—it was classified as an outbreak because the cases were traced back to a single event at a California theme park.
- In contrast, the 1916 polio epidemic in New York involved thousands across multiple boroughs, impacting a larger geographic area and population. This distinction helps tailor the public health response appropriately.